Monday, January 31, 2011

buy L&T at or above 1626...

L&T 's rising price wid oi buildup is indicating buying interest in it ....so buy it ....

Thu-27/01/20111689.01689.951645.751654.5518,1894,043,500740,125206818.751645.35
Fri-28/01/20111655.01655.21601.251616.4514,5103,956,125-87,375202056.251607.3
Mon-31/01/20111599.01651.91579.51644.2515,4074,023,50067,375205531.251641.1
Futures closed at 1644.25
buy L&T at or above 1626 ,,,targets 1631   1643   1659    1671   1684 ...
accumulate L&T keeping stop loss of 1614.00

Buy Reliance ... at or above 910 ...

Please refer ...http://dhanvarshagrp.blogspot.com/2011/01/reliance-industries-today-made-low-of.html
as reliance industries having nice support at 900 ...
todays low is 903 ...and closed at 919 ..
Now  accumulate it at 910 and above for upside  targets ...944  974   998 >>>>
stoploss 898.00



FII and DII trading activity on NSE and BSE on Capital Market Segment

FIIs and DIIs activity


FII trading activity on NSE and BSE on Capital Market Segment
The following is combined FII trading data across NSE and BSE collated on the basis of trades executed by FIIs on 31-Jan-2011.
FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII31-Jan-20112599.843520.22-920.38
Archives

Domestic Institutional Investors trading activity on NSE and BSE on Capital Market Segment
The following is combined Domestic Institutional Investors trading data across NSE and BSE collated on the basis of trades executed by Banks, DFIs, Insurance, MFs and New Pension System on 31-Jan-2011.
DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII31-Jan-20112064.481056.341008.14
Archives

Daily Nifty chart with analysis

Daily nifty chart is showing that value buying / bottom fishing  is started as we predicted  yesterday and market recovered by almost 90 points...

ONGC traded above 6 %

Advised to buy at or above 1125 
opened 1145   low 1130  and high 1216 ... Last traded price 1177
gave BTST
dhanvarshagrp (1/31/2011 3:29:04 PM): btst ongc futures at 1176 1177 tgt 1190
Gains ...

pre market orders in ongc call and futures traded ......bought at   24   and  1123 .....earlier ...Rudra (1/31/2011 10:56:28 AM): meri ONGC 1150 trade ho gayi 52 par
kailash Chaturvedi (1/31/2011 10:56:44 AM): bought at ?
kailash Chaturvedi (1/31/2011 10:57:12 AM): place tsl at 1179
kailash Chaturvedi (1/31/2011 10:57:37 AM): 1185 now
Rudra (1/31/2011 10:57:55 AM): sir oder 1185.85 ka dala hai
Rudra (1/31/2011 10:58:00 AM): kya karun
kailash Chaturvedi (1/31/2011 10:58:08 AM): 1186 traded
Rudra (1/31/2011 10:58:34 AM): yes  
kailash Chaturvedi (1/31/2011 10:58:51 AM): so gained 1123 to 1186
Rudra (1/31/2011 10:58:57 AM): yes sir
Rudra (1/31/2011 10:59:04 AM): plus 18 pts on call
Rudra (1/31/2011 10:59:33 AM): s
81x250 =20250


Nifty futures intraday chart and self analysis

Correct  update at right time ...we predicted 
dhanvarshagrp (1/31/2011 9:43:31 AM): broader mkt is showing some buying inerest now ......5460 now nifty ....

5460 to 5545 = 85 points 

Dhanvarsha crucial Nifty Futures Levels and market prediction with trading technique


<<<5410>>><<<5473>>><<<5505>>><<<<5534>>><<<5569>>><<<5610>>>

Gap down opening is expected due to weak global and Asian cues and after weak opening value buying can be seen in certain stocks to hold the market or to recover it …
ONGC posted good result …definitely boost the positive sentiments …Stocks are trading in highly oversold zone…maximum technical indicators are in oversold zone…so advised to accumulate stocks if market will start moving towards upward  direction. 

Sunday, January 30, 2011

Time of Bottom Fishing


kailash Chaturvedi (1/30/2011 9:13:48 AM): have u bought nifty at 5516 ?
kailash Chaturvedi (1/30/2011 9:13:59 AM): as u said
Nehal (1/30/2011 9:14:15 AM): Yeah
Nehal (1/30/2011 9:15:07 AM): I have bought two lots at that level
kailash Chaturvedi (1/30/2011 9:15:21 AM): mkt analysts posted that nifty will fall more but i m seeing all nifty stocks are highly oversold and buying started in them on Friday ....
Nehal (1/30/2011 9:16:03 AM): Yeah even I believe that it will come up now on monday
Nehal (1/30/2011 9:16:06 AM): But let's see
Nehal (1/30/2011 9:16:46 AM): I can make an average at lower level if it falls more
kailash Chaturvedi (1/30/2011 9:16:56 AM): and if Nifty major like infy icici sbi itc and ongc sesa  will blast will pull rest of them ...
Nehal (1/30/2011 9:17:19 AM): Yesi agree with you
kailash Chaturvedi (1/30/2011 9:17:42 AM): i saw charts of all and they are giving buy signals
Nehal (1/30/2011 9:17:48 AM): SBI is really doing bad since last few days
Nehal (1/30/2011 9:17:55 AM): that's awesome
kailash Chaturvedi (1/30/2011 9:18:11 AM): so i feel it is time of bottom fishing
Nehal (1/30/2011 9:18:55 AM): Buy ONGC at or above 1125 for nice gains - I saw this yesterday
kailash Chaturvedi (1/30/2011 9:19:11 AM): where ??
Nehal (1/30/2011 9:19:29 AM): On your blog of course
Nehal (1/30/2011 9:19:57 AM): both these companies are at their bottom levels I guess
kailash Chaturvedi (1/30/2011 9:20:02 AM): see sugars companies are depend on sugarcane and govt policies
kailash Chaturvedi (1/30/2011 9:20:48 AM): so these are stocks move based on news
Nehal (1/30/2011 9:20:49 AM): and I believe that during march or april their prices should move up
kailash Chaturvedi (1/30/2011 9:21:24 AM): hmm
Nehal (1/30/2011 9:22:25 AM): I bought central bank at 90 one year back and it was done by my broker by mistake
Nehal (1/30/2011 9:22:40 AM): and it went upto 250 couple of months back
kailash Chaturvedi (1/30/2011 9:22:53 AM): yes
Nehal (1/30/2011 9:23:21 AM): so I got huge profit by mistake
kailash Chaturvedi (1/30/2011 9:24:03 AM): gr8
kailash Chaturvedi (1/30/2011 9:24:30 AM): but these small banks are highly volatile
kailash Chaturvedi (1/30/2011 9:24:57 AM): frm 195 to 249 in 30 days only
kailash Chaturvedi (1/30/2011 9:25:27 AM): and 249 to 149 in in 30 days
kailash Chaturvedi (1/30/2011 9:25:50 AM): thease all are operated
kailash Chaturvedi (1/30/2011 9:26:28 AM): see andhra bank
kailash Chaturvedi (1/30/2011 9:26:40 AM): 6 to 7% move in 1 session
Nehal (1/30/2011 9:27:33 AM): Hahahaha
Nehal (1/30/2011 9:27:47 AM): Yes operator based totally
Nehal (1/30/2011 9:27:58 AM): But I have long term plan for that
kailash Chaturvedi (1/30/2011 9:33:11 AM): so u booked at 250 or now
Nehal (1/30/2011 9:33:32 AM): Nope
Nehal (1/30/2011 9:33:44 AM): I'll book at 500
Nehal (1/30/2011 9:34:15 AM): Quantity is not big
Nehal (1/30/2011 9:34:21 AM): It is only 100 shares
Nehal (1/30/2011 9:34:28 AM): so looking for big gaap
kailash Chaturvedi (1/30/2011 9:35:29 AM): if u could have booked at 249 then in 24900 it will be easy for u to own 200 shares now
kailash Chaturvedi (1/30/2011 9:36:01 AM): or at least 150 shares
Nehal (1/30/2011 9:36:17 AM): Yes, I agree but no matter
kailash Chaturvedi (1/30/2011 9:37:16 AM): see u must read elliot and dow theory for this
Nehal (1/30/2011 9:37:46 AM): Ahan
kailash Chaturvedi (1/30/2011 9:38:03 AM): market always move in waves
Nehal (1/30/2011 9:38:03 AM): I tried to read the many times but wasn't able to complete
kailash Chaturvedi (1/30/2011 9:38:32 AM): see elliot dow and fib
Nehal (1/30/2011 9:39:00 AM): Hmm
kailash Chaturvedi (1/30/2011 9:39:06 AM): if you learnt these three ....no one cane beat u
Nehal (1/30/2011 9:42:14 AM): I'll surely try

Saturday, January 29, 2011

Buy ONGC at or above 1125 for nice gains


“A picture speaks a thousand words”, a well-known adage that speaks the virtue of picture and the wealth of information that it contains and conveys.

In the interesting world of equity market where the law of supply and demand dictates the direction of an equity instrument (e.g. stock) and the market  where  the  buyer (Bulls ) and  seller ( Bears) often  wrestle  with  each  other  on  the price of the equity.   And then there are cases when both parties decide to stay on the sideline due to lack of interest or fresh leads.

In any case, when we plot the chart based on the opening and closing price and the volume transacted, it became clear that we can visualize and observe the action going on, of course as to what is really going on, that is still open for interpretation.

This has lead to the adoption of Technical Analysis (TA) which includes charting, various forms of simple and highly sophisticated technical indicators, Japanese candlesticks among investors and traders, fund managers around  the  world  in  their  short-term,  mid-term  or  long-term  investment decision-making.     They use TA to better understand market behavior (or rather the collective human behavior) to uncover opportunity or shun potential losses.

Another reason why TA has been gaining popularity, is because we human are emotional creatures and can be easily affected emotionally.  Emotions such as fear or greed often make us susceptible to rational exuberance or even excessive gloom. By employing TA and having them implemented in computer programs, we can automate and eliminate the emotion out of the decision making.


Quoting from the famous John Murphy (Philosophy of Technical Analysis),TA is based on the following three premises:

    Market actions discount everything. 


    Prices move in trends. 


    History repeats itself. 




ONGC is consolidating at 1120   1140 levels in its  oversold zone where as  market tank by almost 4 % in previous 3 sessions .It is indicating that 1100 is a nice support  for it and  every investor is ready to  keep it  in portfolio ....more over it was traded at 1275  in Oct 09 ...
Buy ONGC at  or above 1125   for nice gains ...positional  targets  marked in chart...
Intra day targets...
1136     1142      1152   1164     1176   1189 
Keep  stop loss of 1112  and trail it accordingly ...

Egypt riots knock Wall St to biggest drop in 6 months

Dow closed below 1.39 % ...

Stocks suffered their biggest one-day loss in nearly six months on Friday as anti-government rioting in Egypt prompted investors to flee to less risky assets to ride out the turmoil.
Increased instability in the Middle East drove up the CBOE Volatility Index (Chicago Options:), the stock market's fear gauge, as investors scrambled for protective positions.
"The market hates uncertainties, especially geopolitical ones, and based on how that shapes up throughout the weekend (in Egypt), next week's trading will be impacted," said Thomas Nyheim, portfolio manager for Christiana Bank & Trust Co in Greenville, Delaware.
Trading volume was the highest of the year at 9.97 billion shares on the New York Stock Exchange, the American Stock Exchange and Nasdaq, compared to last year's estimated daily average of 8.47 billion shares.
The market drop ended the Dow's eight-week winning streak and pushed the S&P 500 below its 14-day moving average for the first time in two months. Disappointing results from Amazon.com  further added to the gloom.
Developments in the Middle East could be a trigger for investors to sell at a time when many expected a correction after a market rally of about 18 percent since September.
"I think the next two to three weeks, the crisis in Egypt and potentially across the Middle East, might be an excuse for a big selloff of 5 to 10 percent," said Keith Wirtz, president and chief investment officer at Fifth Third Asset Management in Cincinnati, Ohio.

Dow Jones Industrial Average

 (DJI: ^DJI )
Index Value:11,823.70
Trade Time:4:01PM EST
Change:Down 166.13 (1.39%)
Prev Close:11,989.83
Open:11,990.36
Day's Range:11,803.04 -12,012.42
52wk Range:9,596.04 -12,072.20


Friday, January 28, 2011

Nifty ....will history repeat again....

Nifty  ....will history  repeat again....
nifty is trading above trend line....and after diwali of 2009 in Feb 2010 first week   Nifty reversed  its direction ... and Feb first week is coming...


Investors lose Rs 11 trillion in stock market since Diwali

 Investors have lost a whopping amount of nearly Rs 11,00,000 crore in the stock market in less than three months since Diwali last year, with over Rs 3 lakh crore being wiped out in the past three days alone. 

The stock market today plunged to its lowest level in nearly five months after three consecutive days of fall -- a period during which the benchmark Sensex plummetted by about 755 points, including a 288-point dip witnessed today. 

and it was informed to you all by us  on next day of  Diwali ...
http://dhanvarshagrp.blogspot.com/2010/11/deepawali-muhurat-chart-opened-went-up.html


Oct 17, 2009 Last Muhurt  Trading ..Same moves , Market  Blasted in 4 sessions and from next day fell down almost 600 points in  next 10 sessions ...but the difference was of month ...That was Oct Month ...

Reliance Industries ...today made a low of 902 before closing at 913...

Reliance Industries ...today made a low of 902 before closing at 913...same  bottom ...same fall ...same bounce ...will be there  ???
this last low was made by Reliance on 30 Oct 10

FII and DII trading activity on NSE and BSE on Capital Market Segment

FIIs and DIIs trading activity


FII trading activity on NSE and BSE on Capital Market Segment
The following is combined FII trading data across NSE and BSE collated on the basis of trades executed by FIIs on 28-Jan-2011.
FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII28-Jan-20113481.284188.12-706.84
Archives

Domestic Institutional Investors trading activity on NSE and BSE on Capital Market Segment
The following is combined Domestic Institutional Investors trading data across NSE and BSE collated on the basis of trades executed by Banks, DFIs, Insurance, MFs and New Pension System on 28-Jan-2011.
DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII28-Jan-20111769.191687.9581.24
Archives


Open Interest is showing heavy build up in put side at EOD  today..


Nifty spot closed quite below 200 DMA in highly oversold zone

Nifty spot closed quite  below 200 DMA  in highly oversold zone ...Nifty spot traded between 5801to 5460  and closed at 5512...almost 1% above the days low ...this 1 % move from 5460 to 5512 is retracement  or Nifty/ market is indicating that some buying interest is emerging at lower levels  ...

Messenger Clips ...


Mukesh (1/28/2011 2:59:04 PM): Intraday short covering from 5460...if today low not taken nw and close above 5500 then it will move toward 5650 but willbe only a upward correction move..and not be teji
kailash Chaturvedi (1/28/2011 2:59:20 PM): ok
Mukesh (1/28/2011 3:04:55 PM): Reason is mojor nifty stocks are below 200 ema..few are up like acc/grasim..but that also wl follow suit..idbi near went below 200dma and on result reacted but will ultimately go below,sbi,reliance..tata power,siemens,bhel




Dhanvarsha crucial Nifty Futures Levels and market prediction with trading technique


<<<5551>>><<5587>>><<<5617>>><<<5639>>><<<5660>>><<<5682>>><<<5701>>><<<5734>>>

Flat to positive opening is expected, dilemma is still here to buy or not to buy /sell. Expecting for a bounce as spot Nifty is resting at 200 DMA in over sold zone.Bellow 5600 Bears will celebrate .  Reliance showing volatility and it is looking that from here it may reverse its direction closed at 942 and buying may take place in it.

ACC  and ambuja   too  given break out with volumes and trading above 20 DMA ...



Thursday, January 27, 2011

FIIs and DIIs trading activity

FIIs and DIIs trading activity


FII trading activity on NSE and BSE on Capital Market Segment
The following is combined FII trading data across NSE and BSE collated on the basis of trades executed by FIIs on 27-Jan-2011.
FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII27-Jan-20114176.535827.94-1651.41
Archives

Domestic Institutional Investors trading activity on NSE and BSE on Capital Market Segment
The following is combined Domestic Institutional Investors trading data across NSE and BSE collated on the basis of trades executed by Banks, DFIs, Insurance, MFs and New Pension System on 27-Jan-2011.
DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII27-Jan-20111325.111580.7-255.59
Archives

Daily Nifty chart with analysis

Daily Nifty spot is trading and closed just below  200 DMA in oversold zone .so  it seems that tomorrow nifty will bounce from here and close above 5650  ...5680...if moved or closed below 200DMA  then 5618 will act as very strong resistance ...

Nifty futures intraday chart

Nifty futures Intra chart ..

L&T pa1650 advised to sell at 27.80 traded at 50 paisa

L&T pe 1650 advised to sell at 27.80   on 21 Jan 11

kailash Chaturvedi (1/21/2011 2:14:36 PM): at nse i m seeing 27.80
kailash Chaturvedi (1/21/2011 2:14:57 PM): means u have to pay only at 1623
kailash Chaturvedi (1/21/2011 2:15:04 PM): it wont go there
Aejaz (1/21/2011 2:15:22 PM): ?? c onfused
kailash Chaturvedi (1/21/2011 2:15:45 PM): ku
kailash Chaturvedi (1/21/2011 2:15:57 PM): 1650 put
Aejaz (1/21/2011 2:16:04 PM): icici ka?
kailash Chaturvedi (1/21/2011 2:16:22 PM): lnt ka
Aejaz (1/21/2011 2:16:55 PM): jaane do sir
Aejaz (1/21/2011 2:17:03 PM): already overloaded now with 2 lots of ibr
kailash Chaturvedi (1/21/2011 2:17:07 PM): buyer of 1650 put seeing at 27.80
kailash Chaturvedi (1/21/2011 2:17:45 PM): u can sold only 125
kailash Chaturvedi (1/21/2011 2:17:50 PM): sell
kailash Chaturvedi (1/21/2011 2:19:35 PM): ye 1642 se neeche nahi gaya hai
kailash Chaturvedi (1/21/2011 2:19:48 PM): aur support le gaya hai
kailash Chaturvedi (1/21/2011 2:20:19 PM): aaj positive men trade kar raha hai

Dow closed Flat ...

Dow closed Flat ...

Dow Jones Industrial Average

 (DJI: ^DJI )
Index Value:11,985.44
Trade Time:4:02PM EST
Change:Up 8.25 (0.07%)
Prev Close:11,977.19
Open:11,978.85
Day's Range:11,961.83 -12,020.52
52wk Range:9,596.04 -12,072.20


Dhanvarsha crucial Nifty Futures Levels and market prediction with trading technique


<<<5675>>><<<5699<<<>>> 5718>>><<5740>>><<<5762>>><<<5799>>>

Gap up is expected with highly volatile session. Be cautious in trades rollover / exiting from Jan contracts will be there so avoid fresh entries today coz trader’s sentiments are still divided. Value buying and profit booking will be there …energy and financial stocks will trade in green so positive closing is expected around 5700 +.

To get dhanvarsha support send add request to YIM ...

kailash123p@yahoo.co.in 

Wednesday, January 26, 2011

U.S. stocks up slightly ahead of Fed

U.S. stocks overcame early disappointment over earnings and a drop in home prices to finish little changed on Tuesday as investors awaited the Federal Reserve’s statement on monetary policy during the next trading session.
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/us-stocks-slip-on-earnings-fed-caution-2011-01-25?siteid=yhoof

Dow Jones Industrial Average

 (DJI: ^DJI )
Index Value:11,977.19
Trade Time:4:02PM EST
Change:Down 3.33 (0.03%)
Prev Close:11,980.52
Open:11,980.52
Day's Range:11,898.74 -11,985.97
52wk Range:9,596.04 -12,072.20


Tuesday, January 25, 2011

Nifty futures intraday chart and self analysis

predicted levels
<<<5672>>><<<5705>>><<<5731>>><<<5753>>><<<5776>>><<<5805>>>

Daily Nifty chart with analysis

daily nifty chart is showing that nifty  closed making bearish engulfing candle ...in oversold zone...

Dhanvarsha crucial Nifty Futures Levels and market prediction with trading technique


Dhanvarsha Nifty futures levels

<<<5672>>><<<5705>>><<<5731>>><<<5753>>><<<5776>>><<<5805>>><<<5835>>>.

Flat to positive opening is expected ahead of RBI policy and as bullish sentiment will be there means Nifty will trade above 5750 …a crucial level we were observing since long will act as support .Means bears must have to wait for some more time to place indices below 5500 .Volatility will be there due to expiry and rollovers .please note either exit from your Jan contracts or Roll it over to Feb …

Watch the gains
 [1/24/2011 1:42:28 PM] kailash chaturvedi: 3288 now
[1/24/2011 1:45:14 PM] Mukesh Patel: sold at 3289
[1/24/2011 1:46:07 PM] kailash chaturvedi: ok
[1/24/2011 1:46:27 PM] kailash chaturvedi: so technically  60 points gained in infy
[1/24/2011 1:46:48 PM] kailash chaturvedi: 3289 -3229
[1/24/2011 1:47:29 PM] Mukesh Patel: ys..

And 60 points in infy futures is a nice trade in 1 session …
why are you missing the opportunity ….
Subscribe now …

FIIs and DIIs were net buyers yesterday ...

FIIs and DIIs were net buyers yesterday ...

FII trading activity on NSE and BSE on Capital Market Segment
The following is combined FII trading data across NSE and BSE collated on the basis of trades executed by FIIs on 24-Jan-2011.
FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII24-Jan-20112558.122494.1763.95
Archives

Domestic Institutional Investors trading activity on NSE and BSE on Capital Market Segment
The following is combined Domestic Institutional Investors trading data across NSE and BSE collated on the basis of trades executed by Banks, DFIs, Insurance, MFs and New Pension System on 24-Jan-2011.
DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII24-Jan-20111474.931238.42236.51
Archives