Thursday, May 31, 2012

Nifty outlook 31 may 12


F&O expiry / settlement day
please close all in the money options before 3.29 to save STT .
Close all May Future contracts . rollover to June if u desire to do so .
Gap down opening is expected .
yesterday's intraday chart is showing that after a gap down start bulls tried to hold nifty and started to up lift it but selling pressure from higher level strengthen the bears and in last hour they sent nifty below opening range. confirmed that bears are still dominating .Asian and international markets are weak.
Trade in NF according to these levels
Buy at / above: 4904   Targets: 4930 - 4952 - 4980 - 4014 >>>
Stoploss : 4880
Sell at / below: 4880   Targets: 4861 - 4840 - 4810 - 4780>>>

Stoploss : 4904
Indian markets are totally depend on option players and as per option data  we are seeing huge puts build up 4900 and call build up above 5000...it is indicating expiry at 4900+/- 40 points .
..

possibilities after gap down opening of 1% or more
1. range trading
2. long unwinding more fall
3.value buying or bottom fishing smooth recovery may turn in short covering at later stage...
so do not trade in panic spot the trend and play accordingly.
we will see wild moves today so trade only if u are fast and use stop loss orders to limit losses.

Wednesday, May 30, 2012

Nifty outlook 30 May 12


Gap down opening is expected with mixed  bias and extremely volatile session ahead ..
buy on dips till nifty is trading above 4945 ..
it is in good health above 4945 and may trade above 5000 either today or tomorrow ...
current nifty range is 4945 - 5070 ..
below 4945 it will trade in 4785 >< 4945 its old range ,so 4945 is crucial for both -bulls and bears ..

keep strict stop loss of 4924 ..
Trade in nifty futures as per these levels
Buy at / above: 4946   Targets: 4967 - 4988 - 5007- 5028- 5055 >>
Stoploss : 4924
Sell at / below: 4924   Targets: 4899 - 4881- 4857- 4830 >>>
Stoploss : 4946 
market will be extremely volatile 
trade with strict sl  placed in system.
Never trade without stop loss on my calls ..
have a nice day ...
yesterdays calls ...
kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (5/29/2012 8:30:44 AM): place pre mkt buy order for 
4900 call at 87 sl 77 tgt 110 125
23 points gained


kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (5/29/2012 10:07:54 AM): buy jp futures at 61.80 85 
kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (5/29/2012 10:08:17 AM): sl 60.80
kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (5/29/2012 10:08:47 AM): tgt 62.40 62.90
kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (5/29/2012 10:08:57 AM): 63.90
1 point gained = 4000 Rs per lot 

kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (5/29/2012 4:38:27 PM): buy nat gas at 143.60 sl 141.80 tgt 144.80 145.90 146.70
146.30 traded  means 2500/- gain per lot 

kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (5/29/2012 7:45:50 PM): sell silver at 54840 860 sl 55025 tgt 54610 54310
53800 traded   almost 1000 points gain 1 lot means gain of Rs 30000/-

view complete archives at 

news may support bulls 

U.S. stocks advanced more than 1% Tuesday amid positive headlines out of Greece and China, even as the euro fell on worries about a deepening debt crisis across the pond.
 Flagship explorer Oil and Natural Gas Corporation's net profit more than doubled to Rs 5,644 crore in the quarter ended March on the back of high crude price and the fall in rupee offsetting a steep rise in fuel subsidy outgo. Net profit for the full 2011-12 fiscal rose 33% to Rs 25,123 crore. 

25 % plus ...intra day gain on Nifty option buy call

call was delivered at 8.30 AM
kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (5/29/2012 8:30:44 AM): place pre mkt buy order for 4900 call at 87 sl 77 tgt 110 125
traded below 87 and above 110 ..
in this way 23 Rs net gain was there for first target in few hours on 87 invested  INRs  ...

Tuesday, May 29, 2012

Nifty outlook 29 May 12

Yesterday it was informed  at 7.20 AM that " expecting a upside breakout today " and it was proved by market by closing above 1.33 % . Yesterday Nifty closed at 4987  just above 20 DMA . ..now we are expecting that nifty will move to 5070 and stay there or trade between 4980  5070 range ..with increased volatility.Flat to positive opening is expected with bullish sentiments as fear index is declining rapidly ...read more 
http://www.dhanvarsha.in/2012/05/fiis-were-net-buyer-on-28-may-12-and.html.
Trade in NF according to these levels ...

Buy at / above: 4980   Targets: 5005 - 5024 - 5044 - 5069 >>>
Stoploss : 4955
Sell at / below: 4955   Targets:  4934 - 4911 - 4886 >>
Stoploss : 4980

trade with stoploss punched in system
trade according to trend  and current trend is turning to bullish one 
Book profit where ever u want  to book ...

FIIs were net buyer on 28 May 12 and fear index declined by 5.8 %

FIIs were net buyer on 28 May 12 and fear index declined  by 5.8 %
read more about fear index  at
http://www.dhanvarsha.in/2012/05/things-to-know-about-volatility-and-why.html



28-May-2012
FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII28-May-20121233.831124.95108.88
28-May-2012
DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII28-May-2012664.38496.68167.7

Monday, May 28, 2012

40 points gained in intra Nifty buy call

Nifty advised to buy at
kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (5/28/2012 9:33:46 AM): trade in nifty futures as per these levels Buy at / above: 4946 Targets: 4967 - 4988 - 5007- 5028- 5055 >> Stoploss : 4924
http://www.dhanvarsha.in/2012/05/nifty-out-look-for-28-may-12.html
2nd target achieved

Nifty out look for 28 May 12


Flat to positive opening is expected ..expecting a upside breakout today as ADAG pack ,
 IT major infy  L&T  are ready to blast up... metals may also join the rally with fin stocks .
trade in nifty futures as per these levels
Buy at / above: 4946   Targets: 4967 - 4988 - 5007- 5028- 5055 >>
Stoploss : 4924
Sell at / below: 4924   Targets: 4999 - 4881- 4857- 4830 >>>
Stoploss : 4946 
market will be extremely volatile 
trade with strict stoploss placed in system.
can do multiple trade if stock starts range trading at entry level ...

Buy rcom


RCOM is making double bottom within 6 months
ready for reversal
two white soldiers  after a spindle bottom are inviting u to go long  because we may see third one today ..
its result is gud and beats analysts estimates
  http://www.businessweek.com/news/2012-05-26/reliance-communications-profit-beats-estimates-on-phone-usage
Buy RCOM  in cash/futures at or above 66 for positional targets of 72 -79 -85 -91 -96  in less than 90 days period .stop loss 60 closing basis .
buy RCOM in  cash / futures at and above  66 for intraday   targets 68  70  72  74
sl 63.90
stay invested above 60/-





BULLISH THREE WHITE SOLDIERS      
Type:Reversal
Relevance:Bullish
Prior Trend:Bearish
Reliability:High
Confirmation:Suggested
No. of Sticks:3

Bullish Three White Soldiers PatternDefinition:         
Bullish Three White Soldiers Pattern is indicative of a strong reversal in the market. It is characterized by three long candlesticks stepping upward like a staircase. The opening of each day is slightly lower than previous close rallying then to a short term high.
Recognition Criteria:
1. Market is characterized by downtrend.
2. We see three consecutive long white candlesticks.
3. Each candlestick closes at a new high.
4. The opening of each candlestick is within the body of the previous day.
5. Each consecutive day closes near or at its highs.
Explanation:
The Bullish Three White Soldiers Pattern appears in a context where the market stayed at a low price for too long. The market is still falling down and it is now approaching a bottom or already at bottom. Then we see a decisive attempt upward shown by the long white candlestick. Rally continues in the next two days characterized by higher closes. Bears are now forced to cover short positions.
Important Factors:
The opening prices of the second and third days can be anywhere within the previous day's body. However, it is better to see the opening prices above the middle of the previous day's body.
If the white candlesticks are very extended, one should be cautious about an overbought market.
The reliability of this pattern is very high, but still a confirmation in the form of a white candlestick with a higher close or a gap-up is suggested.

Sunday, May 27, 2012

expecting that nifty will trade at 5350...5400

Nifty view for settlement week ...nifty may trade between 4784 to 4945 . on success-ful close above 4945  we will see 5075 >>><<<5205 on spot ...we are expecting that nifty will trade at 5350  5400  5600 level in next six month ..
we have spotted a rare but prominent
Tweezer bottom reversal pattern found after 13 week - fib magical series  number  1, 1 ,2 , 3,5, 8, 13, 21 ....
11 sessions traded in the range of 4784  4945  ...possibility max 2 more below 4845 according to fib magical series ...next number 21
Nifty is bullish since 5 sessions and bullish weekly close favoring bulls ....
Nifty is highly oversold and maximum stocks are available at nice valuation...
share your views too...
Add caption
Inverted head & shoulder reversal pattern will be confirmed at 60 Minute chart if  nifty will trade above 4945 ...

Saturday, May 26, 2012

FIIs were net sellers on 25 May 12

FIIs were net sellers on 25 May 12
they were net buyers of Rs 900 Cr in index options ...
what are they accumulating ???
calls ????


puts ???
Nifty will settle according to their accumulation in index options
Guess and  share ur views...


25-May-2012
FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII25-May-20121001.531625.29-623.76
25-May-2012
DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII25-May-2012927.63492.98434.65

Sell and buy axis bank - what u will do ?

refer http://money.rediff.com/tools/commentary
they are encouraging  traders to trade ...

Gained Rs 4000/-per lot within 2 minutes of opening on btst call

premium call was

kailash123p (5/24/2012 3:18:02 PM): btst jpassociate at 59.75
kailash123p (5/24/2012 3:25:39 PM): btst jpassociate futures at 59.75
kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (5/25/2012 9:16:51 AM): jp associate book 1 re gain on btst 60.75
Gained Rs 4000/-per lot within 2 minutes of opening on btst call
Join dhanvarsha now 

buy icici bank .. sell icici bank


kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (5/25/2012 9:39:28 AM): buy icici bank futures at or above 795 tgt 810 818 825 >>sl 783
kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (5/25/2012 9:40:45 AM): trading at 794

kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (5/25/2012 10:14:49 AM): nifty is trading in range ...modify sl of icici bank to 788 or exit fro trade at c2c at 795 96 direction less
kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (5/25/2012 11:09:12 AM): icici in bull grip now if exited buy again 796 now

kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (5/25/2012 11:12:30 AM): icici 798
kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (5/25/2012 12:29:05 PM): book partial profit in icici at 801

kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (5/25/2012 1:16:16 PM): sell icici bank at or below 801 tgt 795 791 sl 808.20
kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (5/25/2012 1:19:49 PM): icici nearing 1st tgt 797 traded




Reliance capital closed well above first positional target within a week -

Reliance capital closed well above first positional target within a week -
lage raho munna bhai -stay invested  and trail stop loss
buy call was posted on 21 May 2012 at
http://www.dhanvarsha.in/2012/05/buy-reliance-capital.html

Recommended to buy in cash / futures  in the range of 285 - 295 ...
stoploss 280 closing basis ...
target positional 315  336   366  398 >>> duration  6 months 
Join dhanvarsha for continue support ...
once more buy advice given at 309 .65
kailash123p (5/23/2012 11:39:55 AM): buy rel capital at n above 309.55 sl 306.4 target 314 319.8
kailash123p (5/23/2012 11:40:18 AM): trading at 309.60
kailash123p (5/23/2012 3:05:24 PM): 2 to 3 waves lifted relcap to 313 but failed to kiss 314 so if u are holding book at 311 or keep btst
see all  premium messages 
Send add request to kailash123p@yahoo.co.in

Friday, May 25, 2012

FIIs were net sellers on 24 May 12

FIIs were net sellers on 24 May 12
but continuously buying stock futures ...



24-May-2012
FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII24-May-20121633.591739.32-105.73
24-May-2012
DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII24-May-2012732.16602.14130.02

Rs 6250/- gained on 1 traded lot of natural gas in few hours

Rs 6250/- gained on 1 traded lot of natural gas in few hours
lot size 1250
intraday margin required 12000/-
gain 5x1250 = 6250
call was
kailash123p (5/24/2012 10:06:19 AM): sell nat gas at 153 sl 154.50 tgt 151.20 149.1
kailash123p (5/24/2012 12:53:01 PM): Natural gas will start in a hour or 2 towrds destination .... 153.10 now

kailash123p (5/24/2012 3:49:50 PM): nat gas started 152.50 now
kailash123p (5/24/2012 4:00:50 PM): ngas rewarding @ 1250 per lot 152 traded

kailash123p (5/24/2012 4:06:44 PM): natural gas is rolling like stone ....just stay in trade with sl shifted to c2c 151.90 call was sell at 153
kailash123p (5/24/2012 4:07:23 PM): 151.90 now
kailash123p (5/24/2012 4:21:19 PM): 151.20 first tgt reaching 1.80 x1250 per lot book part profit at 151.20 trail sl at 152.20... 151.2 done
kailash123p (5/24/2012 4:50:39 PM): please trade with stoploss order punched in system for commodity trades specially ....sl for natural gas is now at 152.55 trading at 151.70 

kailash123p (5/24/2012 5:08:48 PM): Nat gas sl mod to 152.40
kailash123p (5/24/2012 5:12:32 PM): nat gas tsl hit

kailash123p (5/24/2012 5:16:10 PM): do not short ng at 153 now till not getting reversal
kailash123p (5/24/2012 5:54:32 PM): sell nat gas at 151.80 152 sl 153.55

kailash123p (5/24/2012 7:57:54 PM): May natural gas may trade at or below 148 today as per intra day charts 
kailash123p (5/24/2012 7:58:40 PM): trading at 151.30
kailash123p (5/24/2012 7:59:56 PM): 150.70 now
kailash123p (5/24/2012 8:00:18 PM): 150.10 traded
kailash123p (5/24/2012 8:01:41 PM): made low of 149.90 and jumped to 151.70
kailash123p (5/24/2012 8:02:50 PM): trade with sl
kailash123p (5/24/2012 8:07:08 PM): who is holding ng or booked gains ?
kailash123p (5/24/2012 8:07:46 PM): 149.60 book partial
kailash123p (5/24/2012 8:16:24 PM): ng 148.40 ye he dhanvarsha
at last natural gas traded below 148 and last traded at 148.40






why are u lagging behind...
join Dhanvarsha now
be a premium member at affordable rates
send add request to kailash123p@yahoo.co.in

Thursday, May 24, 2012

Nifty outlook for 24 May 12


Trade in Nifty futures as per these levels ..
Buy at / above: 4845   Targets: 4866 - 4888 - 4907- 4939>>
Stoploss : 4824
Sell at / below: 4824   Targets: 4804 - 4787 - 4761 - 4742>>>
Stoploss : 4845


Nehal (5/23/2012 10:39:46 PM): so what's going on petrol in news channels
Nehal (5/23/2012 10:39:55 PM): they all are busy today for the whole day
Nehal (5/23/2012 10:40:12 PM): during day time it was dollar vs rupee in news
kailash123p (5/23/2012 10:40:14 PM): ya
Nehal (5/23/2012 10:40:25 PM): and at evening it was petrol petrol and petrol
kailash123p (5/23/2012 10:40:33 PM): ya
Nehal (5/23/2012 10:41:13 PM): lagta hai kal market ki pungi bajegi
Nehal (5/23/2012 10:41:20 PM): Petrol price ko leke
kailash123p (5/23/2012 10:41:43 PM): no
Nehal (5/23/2012 10:41:43 PM): because it was declared after market hours
kailash123p (5/23/2012 10:41:59 PM): i feel it will move 100 points 
kailash123p (5/23/2012 10:42:02 PM): up
kailash123p (5/23/2012 10:42:24 PM): contra socho
Nehal (5/23/2012 10:42:29 PM): is US market up today
kailash123p (5/23/2012 10:43:04 PM): red fully
kailash123p (5/23/2012 10:43:19 PM): but will be green in morning
Nehal (5/23/2012 10:44:12 PM): ahan
Nehal (5/23/2012 10:44:16 PM): why do you feel so
kailash123p (5/23/2012 10:44:38 PM):  Dow 152 points down
kailash123p (5/23/2012 10:44:40 PM): http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=%5EDJI&t=1d&l=on&z=l&q=c&p=%2Cb%2Ce20%2Ce10&a=m26-12-9%2Cr14%2Cv&c=
Nehal (5/23/2012 10:44:50 PM): wow
Nehal (5/23/2012 10:45:20 PM): I still have to update my heikin ashi chart today
Nehal (5/23/2012 10:45:43 PM): otherwise I could have predicted something
kailash123p (5/23/2012 10:45:56 PM): ok
To read all premium messages sent yesterday please visit
http://dgrpchat.blogspot.in/2012/05/intraday-support-and-message-to-premium.html
be a dhanvarsha premium member at affordable rates
send add request to kailash123p@yahoo.co.in

FIIs were net sellers on 23 May 12

FIIs were net sellers on 23 May 12
Alarming fact is net buying in index options of 800 Cr....calls or Puts ???
share your views at comments


23-May-2012
FII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII23-May-20121534.161895.23-361.07
23-May-2012
DII trading activity on NSE and BSE in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
DII23-May-2012780.79612.3168.49