Saturday, August 31, 2013

Nifty macro view for week ending 06 sept 13

Nifty traded between 5118- 5528 in expiry week before closing at 5471 and it was predicted at macro view “ 5500, 5575 and 5690 are pivot  / reversal levels so buying with volumes must be there to cross these barriers . as per eod nifty chart ,candles are supporting bulls ..next negative wave may take nifty to 5180   5000 level ”  at http://dhanvarsha.in/nifty-macro-and-micro-analysis/


Nifty weekly candle  closed flat  making  long legged  hammer at extremely oversold zone . possibility of selling climax according to volumes . Nifty Closed at bottom of uptrending channel just above 200 week moving average and at lower bollinger .


Expecting one more weekly flat closing or looking up towards 5575  5690  down side support will be at 5350 , buy on dips if nifty will sustain above 5350  weak only below 5350 .


NIFTY_Weekly_31-08-2013


Trading the channels is a trading strategy that identifies stocks trading in trending channels. While in a up trending channel, by finding major support and resistance levels with technical analysis , a trend trader buys stocks at the lower level of support (bottom of the up channel) and sells/short them near resistance (top of the channel). In a down trending channel the trader may also go short (bet against the price) at upper resistance levels and sell their short positions at lower positions within the channel.


Generally traders are recommended to trade with the trend and you can do so in Channel trading.  Instead of selling at the top of the channel in an up trend or bottom of the channel in a down trend, traders may not sell and let profits run.  Traders may decide to close some of their position, taking partial profits.  The market will run against them for a while, but if you are confident of the trend then the market will turn in your favour before being stopped out.  We’ll explore these pull-backs or retracement’s in later modules.  Read more at 

Nifty is trading above very strong support  of 200 week moving average.

Nifty gained more than 220 intra day points

Nifty gained more than 220 intra day  points on  5 buy and 3 sell calls which are shared at Dhanvarsha chat room in real time  http://dhanvarsha.in/chatroom/


chat history shared at   http://clientsviews.blogvvspot.in/2013/08/chat-history-till-1130-pm-30-aug-13.html


nf30


call 1   


30 Aug 13, 09:17 AM admin: call active is BUY NF at / above: 5385 Targets: 5399 – 5418 – 5436- 5456 Stoploss : 5359 BUY at cmp

call  2


30 Aug 13, 10:20 AM admin: BUY nifty at 5436 40 sl 5418 tgt 5456 5476

call 3


30 Aug 13, 12:19 PM admin: SELL nifty at 5460 59 sl 5482 tgt 5441 5421

call 4 


30 Aug 13, 12:42 PM admin: BUY nifty at 5388 92 sl 5368 tgt as per levels

call 5  


30 Aug 13, 01:43 PM admin: BUY nifty above 5425.2 sl 5394 tgt 5445 trading at 5409 ….SELL nf below 5394 tgt 5365 sl 5425

call 6


30 Aug 13, 02:05 PM

[×] [o] admin: BUY nifty at 5365 73 sl 5348 tgt 5398 5419 6368 now


call 7 


30 Aug 13, 02:44 PM [×] [o] admin: BUY nifty at 5390 5400 sl 5378 tgt 5419

call 8 


30 Aug 13, 03:13 PM [×] [o] admin: SELL nifty at 5462 74 sl 5483


30 Aug 13, 03:23 PM [×] [o] admin: BOOK partial at 5446 keep sl at cost trading at 5450


30 Aug 13, 03:27 PM [×] [o] admin: SELL nifty at cmp stbt 5473


30 Aug 13, 03:27 PM  [×] [o] admin: SELL nifty at cmp stbt 5473


30 Aug 13, 03:28 PM  [×] [o] admin: 5478 SELL


30 Aug 13, 03:28 PM [×] [o] admin: carry SHORT at 5478 80


30 Aug 13, 03:30 PM [×] [o] admin: 5462 traded


If we are predicting these calls seeing real time charts based on  our analysis  technique  why can’t  you … Start learning and earning and grow with Dhanvarsha .  send add request to kailash123p@yahoo.co.in  / kailashnpoonam@gmail.com or call at +91 9451659275.


 


 




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Nifty gained more than 220 intra day points

Friday, August 30, 2013

more than 200 Nifty points on intraday calls

call was  shared at chat room in real time  http://dhanvarsha.in/chatroom/


buy nifty above 5425.2  sl 5394  tgt  5445   trading at 5409       ….sell nf below 5394 tgt 5365  sl 5425


nifty30a


nifty gained more than 170  points in intra day  calls shared at chat room  Dhanvarsha   http://dhanvarsha.in/chatroom/


30 Aug 13, 10:02 AM

[×] [o] admin: nifty BUY call gained 44 plus points call was 30 Aug 13, 09:17 AM [×] [o] admin: call active is BUY NF at / above: 5385 Targets: 5399 – 5418 – 5436- 5456 Stoploss : 5359 BUY at cmp traded from 5380 to 5430


nifty30


 


30 Aug 13, 12:19 PM

[×] [o] admin: SELL nifty at 5460 59 sl 5482 tgt 5441 5421


30 Aug 13, 12:40 PM


[×] [o] admin: BOOK full nifty SHORT s at 5390 85


30 Aug 13, 12:42 PM


[×] [o] admin: BUY nifty at 5388 92 sl 5368 tgt as per levels


30 Aug 13, 12:44 PM


 



more than 200 Nifty points on intraday calls

Negative to gap down opening on 30 Aug 13

Negative to gap down opening is expected with extremely volatile session ahead as today market players will plan and set for next expiry and initiate their positions accordingly. Nifty eod chart may support  bulls as money is coming in to market  RSI  is creeping up. after long legged hammer 2 white candles in continuation  , prices are  still  below  from falling trend line and 20 DMA  in these conditions 1 more white candle may be there and we may see nifty spot at or above 5450 if  GDP  data or $$ will be supportive.


NIFTY_Daily_29-08-2013


Trade in Nifty as per these levels


Buy at / above: 5385   Targets:  5399 – 5418 – 5436- 5456
Stoploss : 5359
Sell at / below: 5359   Targets: 5340- 5327 – 5311 – 5292 – 5272
Stoploss : 5385


The recent rupee fall, the governor said, was more because of the high current account deficit (CAD) — the excess of spending overseas than earnings — for three years. As a nation, India failed to utilise the excess liquidity to set its house in order, and blaming the Fed Reserve now would not help. Read more at …


Trade in bullish pattern till nifty will trade above 5350 .


Natural gas  gained Rs 10000/- per lot yesterday  .. Read more …


Crude gained  60 to 70 points  call shared in real time at chatroom  http://dhanvarsha.in/chatroom/


Stay logged in at chat room .



Negative to gap down opening on 30 Aug 13

Thursday, August 29, 2013

Natural gas gained Rs 10000/- per lot

Natural gas gained Rs 10000/- per lot in 15 minutes  of trade


Call was shared here http://dhanvarsha.in/chatroom/


29 Aug 13, 04:41 PM [×] [o] admin: SELL natural gas at 241 sl 244.10 tgt 238 235


29 Aug 13, 06:43 PM [×] [o] deepakgajra: ng inventory kab hai…


29 Aug 13, 06:44 PM [×] [o] admin: aaj 8 baje


29 Aug 13, 06:44 PM [×] [o] deepakgajra: oksir


29 Aug 13, 06:45 PM [×] [o] admin: Natural Gas Storage 63B 57B


29 Aug 13, 06:46 PM [×] [o] admin: expected data negative for ng


29 Aug 13, 06:46 PM [×] [o] admin: SELL on rise


29 Aug 13, 06:46 PM [×] [o] admin: possible tgt 235


29 Aug 13, 06:46 PM [×] [o] admin: 243.50 now


29 Aug 13, 06:47 PM [×] [o] deepakgajra: yr sl hit na?


29 Aug 13, 06:47 PM [×] [o] admin: economic calender http://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/


29 Aug 13, 06:56 PM [×] [o] admin: mine sl gone traded at 240 from 241.50 then blasted to 244


29 Aug 13, 06:57 PM [×] [o] admin: $$ oriented http://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-inr-advanced-chart


29 Aug 13, 06:57 PM [×] [o] admin: so we have 2 see 2 moves


29 Aug 13, 07:36 PM [×] [o] admin: SELL natural  gas at 244.90. 246 sl 247.20 target 242.20 240.20 237.10 233.20 trading at 244.90


29 Aug 13, 08:00 PM [×] [o] admin: place natural gas cover orders at 238 235 233 if  trigger at 8 PM


29 Aug 13, 08:00 PM [×] [o] admin: 240 traded


29 Aug 13, 08:01 PM [×] [o] admin: 239.20 traded


29 Aug 13, 08:02 PM [×] [o] admin: BOOK full natural gas  now


natural gas 29


 


 




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Natural gas gained Rs 10000/- per lot

nifty analysis and levels on expiry day

Nifty analysis and levels on expiry day . EOD  chart is indicating that money is coming in means smart traders are accumulating stocks at bottoms and media is proppagating negative news ..advising to buy on dips  or swing lows in bottomed out stocks  and book gains later …


NIFTY_Daily_28-08-2013


 We   like to ride on trend so advising that trade according to trend  and from 5130 we are giving buy calls in nifty have  a look …


nifty 28


Expecting 0.5 to 0.6 % gap up opening with extremely volatile session ahead …up side is open but down side is limited to 5200 today as per put OI build up. Highest put build up is spotted at 5200 level above 71 lac . Therefore  5200 is very strong support . 5300 is tie as call and put both are equally written at 5300  . Market may be resisted at 5400 level if started up move expected expiry 5500 plus minus 50 points as per present available data and chart readings . we will update at chat room in real time as and when new inputs will be there so stay logged in at http://dhanvarsha.in/chatroom/



NATURAL GAS CORRECTED BY 22 POINTS AFTER SELLING ADVICE  in intra day trade..and only 18 points move can give you 200 % return on capital used  to trdae , see call and chart here at http://dhanvarsha.in/natural-gas-corrected-by-22-points-after-selling-advice/    it is Dhanvarsha


Trade in nifty futures as per these levels 


Buy at / above: 5305   Targets: 5326 – 5344 – 5362 – 5381-5404-5428
Stoploss : 5284
Sell at / below: 5284   Targets: 5269 – 5251 – 5229 – 5202       Stoploss 5306


 




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nifty analysis and levels on expiry day

Natural gas corrected by 22 points after selling advice

Natural gas corrected by 22 points after selling advice


firstly stop was triggered


28 Aug 13, 04:22 PM


[×] [o] admin: SELL natural gas at 244.70 245 .50 sl 247.10 tgt 241 238


28 Aug 13, 04:55 PM


[×] [o] admin: gas sl triggered


again when we got sell signal at 248 it was advised like this


28 Aug 13, 05:54 PM

[×] [o] admin: SELL ng at 247.70 247.90 sl 249.10 tgt 245 243 241


28 Aug 13, 06:27 PM

[×] [o] admin: natural gas 246.60 now


28 Aug 13, 07:21 PM

[×] [o] admin: nat gas traded at 243 gain 7500/- per lot


Later traded below 236 ….


thus gained more than 22 points


22×1250 = Rs 27000/- per lot


capital required less than 10 thousand


calculation is theoretical but yes 10 points were predicted in call and shared  at chat room  http://dhanvarsha.in/chatroom/  so   we can say it as Jackpot call .


natural gas 28


 


 




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Natural gas corrected by 22 points after selling advice

Wednesday, August 28, 2013

Axis bank gained 30 + points within 55 minutes

axis traded at 840 tgt 2 done now trading at 824 call was 28 Aug 13, 11:03 AM [×] [o] admin: BUY axis bank at 806 07 sl 794 tgt 819 839 dhanvarsha  http://dhanvarsha.in/chatroom/  


Axis bank  gained 30 + points  within 55 minutes


start learning about market prediction …


You can learn it at your home


no need to join regular classes


just login for 10  20 minutes every day and we will pass you instructions


Online chart reading


online trading


join Dhanvarsha


send add request to kailash123p@yahoo.co.in or stay logged in at chatroom  at http://dhanvarsha.in/chatroom/


axis




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Axis bank gained 30 + points within 55 minutes

Gap down of 1 % or more is expected

Gap down of 1 % or more is expected with extremely volatile session ahead. 5200  5000  4800 may work as  supports  as per 5 years weekly chart .Nifty is trading well below  200 week moving average, if pull back won’t be there, more down side can not be ruled out . Be cautious … Go for intra trades with proper stop loss management . Do not carry long positions till global and domestic conditions are not ok for markets . Spot bullish and bearish waves then enter in trade . Stay  logged in at chatroom dhanvarsha http://dhanvarsha.in/chatroom/  for real time updates and tips /calls .


NIFTY_Weekly_27-08-2013


Nifty may retest its key support 5200 5230 within 1 week ..if it is only double bottom then rebound will be there to 5500  before Friday close .Chances of pull back /smooth recovery can not be ruled out if aggressive sell off with volume below 5230 won’t be there.


double botom


Trade in NF as per these levels 


Buy at / above: 5233   Targets: 5253 – 5271 – 5289 – 5308-5338
Stoploss : 5218
Sell at / below: 5218   Targets: 5201 – 5186 – 5168 – 5150
Stoploss : 5234


 


 




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Gap down of 1 % or more is expected

Tuesday, August 27, 2013

triple bottom intra reversal spotted at nifty chart

triple bottom intra  reversal spotted at nifty chart


kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (8/27/2013 12:26:25 PM): nifty is trying to make intraday triple bottom at 5305 10 if it is true we may see nifty today at 5370 90 if break it will see 40 points fall from here

Last message received on 8/27 at 12:26 PM


kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (8/27/2013 12:10:33 PM): buy nifty on dips sl 5294 tgt 5354 cmp 5324

kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (8/27/2013 12:18:05 PM): never trade without stop loss order ..never hesitate in exiting at sl level …we can protect our huge losses by placing stop loss order…if you feel stop loss order is too big for you to afford…enter your entry limit order closer to stop loss order …


t bottom at intra


 


 


 


 




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triple bottom intra reversal spotted at nifty chart

Market outlook , NF levels 27 Aug 13

Possibility of gap down opening is there as per market out look  NF will trade with increased volatility , global sentiments are bearish , dow closed below 15k at 14,946.46 Down 64.05(0.43%)  below 15k psychological mark  and  rating firms are seeing more gloomy situation ahead warned to downgrade .


The government might be taking measures to address the macroeconomic woes but the worst is yet to come, rating agencies have said.


Fitch Ratings warned of a downgrade if the country is unable to meet fiscal deficit target. It said reining in the fiscal deficit at 4.8 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP) would be a difficult task. Finance Minister P Chidambaram had said a fiscal deficit at 4.8 per cent of GDP was a red line and would not be breached. But Fitch said slowing revenues would make it difficult to meet the fiscal deficit target in the year ending March 2014. The rating agency had assigned India its lowest investment grade of BBB-.


http://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/rating-firms-see-more-gloom-fitch-warns-of-downgrade-113082600846_1.html


Nifty eod chart is showing that nifty closed positive but candle was  red spinning top which was suspicious because it has seen just after two positive candles .please have a look:-


NIFTY_Daily_26-08-2013


Trade in NF as per these levels


Buy at / above: 5434   Targets: 5453 – 5473 – 5492 – 5510-5538
Stoploss : 5414
Sell at / below: 5414   Targets: 5396 – 5380 – 5362 – 5341-5312   Stop loss 5434


Stay at chat room dhanvarsha  for real time updates and profit making calls    http://dhanvarsha.in/chatroom/


We are expecting positive closing today . Session will be extremely volatile so entry and exit must be fast . Do not trade without stop loss order as stop loss order will protect your capital and unexpected losses.


See the option decay  sold 5500 ce 5400 PE  call combo at 84 traded at 56 at the time of close .


huge gains were there on both calls and puts .


this call traded above 60 


26 Aug 13, 11:25 AM

[×] [o] admin: 5500 ce BUY at 40 stop loss 36.50 target 44 48 and above     it was  shared in real time at  http://dhanvarsha.in/chatroom/


5500ce


This call traded below 14   .26 Aug 13, 10:54 AM [×] [o] admin: SELL 5400 pe at 29 30 stop loss 35 target  25 22


5400pe


 


 


 


 




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Market outlook , NF levels 27 Aug 13

Monday, August 26, 2013

More than 100 nifty points on intra trades

Today our system generated 2 sell calls and 3 buy calls in Nifty futures for intra day booking


kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (8/26/2013 9:41:21 AM): call active is Buy NF at / above: 5499 Targets: 5519 – 5539 – 5558 – 5576-5594 Stoploss : 5474


kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (8/26/2013 10:20:34 AM): book 50 % gain at 5522 in nifty


kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (8/26/2013 10:22:04 AM): supply point 5524 25 if break 5548 will be there

kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (8/26/2013 10:23:09 AM): sell nifty at 5522 20 sl 5534 tgt 5502


kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (8/26/2013 10:52:30 AM): buy nifty at 5465 75 sl 5449 tgt 5499


kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (8/26/2013 11:27:31 AM): buy nifty if not entered 5472 now


kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (8/26/2013 11:51:03 AM): 5482 traded niftyyyyyy

kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (8/26/2013 12:00:14 PM): 5486 87 book 50% gain

kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (8/26/2013 12:02:18 PM): 5492 traded


kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (8/26/2013 1:44:10 PM): buy nifty at 5465 70 sl 5449 tgt 5499

kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (8/26/2013 1:45:22 PM): buy nifty at 5462 70 sl 5449 tgt 5478 5492


kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (8/26/2013 2:22:27 PM): niftyyyyyyy 5482

kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (8/26/2013 2:39:04 PM): niftyyyy 5510 it is dhanvarsha

kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (8/26/2013 2:47:52 PM): sell nifty at 5515 5525 sl 5541


kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (8/26/2013 2:58:58 PM): 5494 nifty

kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (8/26/2013 3:01:37 PM): 5498 nifty book ur short


kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (8/26/2013 3:18:57 PM): buy nifty at 5450 60 btst


nifty26


 




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More than 100 nifty points on intra trades

natural gas gained Rs 2500/- per traded lot

natural gas   gained Rs 2500/- per traded lot


call was


26 Aug 13, 06:53 PM

[×] [o] admin: SELL natural  gas at 227 227.50 sl 228.80 target 225.20


shared at http://dhanvarsha.in/chatroom/


26 Aug 13, 07:06 PM

[×] [o] admin: natural gas 224.60 bang on target BOOK full profit.


nat gas 26


 




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natural gas gained Rs 2500/- per traded lot

Copper gained more than Rs 6000/- per traded lot

Copper gained more than Rs 6000/- per traded lot


26 Aug 13, 07:09 PM


[×] [o] admin: copper at 473.90 trail with sl at 474.60 call was 26 Aug 13, 06:43 PM [×] [o] admin: SELL copper at 478 478.40 sl 479.60 target 476.60 472.30


26 Aug 13, 07:23 PM


[×] [o] admin: 471.55 traded in copper target done both kaisi he dhanvarsha ??call was at 6.43 PM 26 Aug 13, 06:43 PM [×] [o] admin: SELL copper at 478 478.40 sl 479.60 target 476.60 472.30


26 Aug 13, 07:24 PM


[×] [o] admin: 40 minutes time


26 Aug 13, 07:24 PM


[×] [o] admin: and gain is Rs 6000/- per traded lot in copper


Mail your contact details to kailash123p@yahoo.co.in or call at +919451659275 to get chat room gateway …!!!


shared at chat room Dhanvarsha   http://dhanvarsha.in/chatroom/


copper chart




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Copper gained more than Rs 6000/- per traded lot

market outlook nifty levels 26 Aug 13

Positive to gap up opening is expected with extremely volatile session ahead .To read more about nifty expiry view with analysed nifty weekly and daily  charts please visit http://dhanvarsha.in/nifty-macro-and-micro-analysis/  .


Chat room Dhanvarsha is there for real time updates and sharing of knowledge


Trade in nifty futures as per these levels 


Buy at / above: 5499   Targets: 5519 – 5539 – 5558 – 5576-5594
Stoploss : 5474
Sell at / below: 5474  Targets: 5460 – 5441 – 5423 – 5404 stoploss 5502 


Trade with trend and trade with stop loss order.


 



market outlook nifty levels 26 Aug 13

Sunday, August 25, 2013

Nifty macro and micro analysis for expiry week

nifty range for expiry week may be 5300 >< 5500 can be extended to 5700 …


5500, 5575 and 5690 are pivot  / reversal levels so buying with volumes must be there to cross these barriers . as per eod nifty chart ,candles are supporting bulls ..next negative wave may take nifty to 5180   5000 level, falling  / correcting chances are grim .looking up now . next week will be extremely volatile …spot trend and trade according to it ..trade mostly in intra day trades and carry those stocks which are at breakout level .possible range for next week will be 5300 >< 5500 can be extended to 5700 if short covering will take place ..


NIFTY_Daily_23-08-2013


Nifty weekly chart is showing that fifth week closing candle was long legged red hammer .Indication of pause in fall and possibility of some pull back or complete reversal is there .


fncharts_export


The Hammer is a bullish reversal candlestick. Hammer candlesticks occur when price moves significantly lower after the open, but rebounds to close well above the low. In a perfect hammer, this tail is twice the length of the body and the candlestick will have no upper shadow or wick. The smaller the body and the longer the tail, the more significant the hammer is as a bullish indicator. Hammers form at trend bottoms


Hammer Japanese Candlestick




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Nifty macro and micro analysis for expiry week

Saturday, August 24, 2013

Technical analysis and stop loss order

Technical analysis is nothing but just trade according to direction of one line …we use very simple technique  in it …for intra day trades  if candles are closing below green line we plan short trades and if candles are closing above green line and line is pointing up we plan long trades but when candles are hovering up and down of line we must avoid trades.


crude23


trade with stop loss order punched in system .above chart is 5 min chart of crude intraday move. crude was extremely bearish and creeping down .We have planned sell call seeing its negative movement . call was like this


23 Aug 13, 06:52 PM [×] [o] admin: SELL crude at 6714 30 sl 6741 tgt 6682 6662 6602


23 Aug 13, 07:11 PM [×] [o] admin: crude traded at 6701 from 6721 now again at 6715 so advised to BOOK in steps at 6702 6682 6662 6642 and so on


23 Aug 13, 07:12 PM [×] [o] admin: and do multi trade


23 Aug 13, 07:31 PM [×] [o] admin: crude 6702 traded from 6721


23 Aug 13, 07:39 PM [×] [o] admin: crude traded at 6692


23 Aug 13, 07:41 PM [×] [o] admin: SELL crude at 6719 30 sl 6741 tgt 6702 6682 6662 6602


23 Aug 13, 09:34 PM [×] [o] admin: crude sl triggered in third shot


crude traded above 6928  more than 200 points  up means loss of 20000/- if not traded with stop loss order ..


so what is gud here booking of  20k  loss or booking of 1 to 2k loss in form of stop loss order .


what is that ???


Stop Loss orders are orders placed with your broker, and executed to buy when a certain price level is reached if you are holding  a short position…. read more at   http://dhanvarshagrp.blogspot.in/2011/07/stop-loss-order-technique-you-must-know.html


 


 


 


 





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Technical analysis and stop loss order

Friday, August 23, 2013

Nifty gained more than 40 points within 4 minutes

Nifty call gained more than 40 points within 4 minutes . have a look ..Sudden fall was spotted in nifty at 2.14 PM   there was no time to post target and stop loss so shared quick call like this at chat room Dhanvarsha http://dhanvarsha.in/chatroom/


23 Aug 13, 02:14 PM [×] [o] admin: SELL niftyy at cmp


23 Aug 13, 02:18 PM [×] [o] admin: 5412 traded advised at 5447 nifty


at 2.14 high was 5453  and at 2.18   low was 5412 ..


Super fast Dhanvarsha


Thus traders gained 20 to 40 points if they were at desk and alerted.


5450 to 5412 in 5 mins


 




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Nifty gained more than 40 points within 4 minutes

selling climax & upswing of 175 Nifty points

Yesterday we have spotted selling climax at Nifty and predicted that nifty may reverse its direction and may close above 5350 here at Dhanvarsha . today’s expectation is if nifty  will cross 5450 easily it will rest at or 5500 or above at 3.30 PM.you may refresh selling climax once again” A market condition that is characterized by very high trading volume and a dramatic downward or upward movement in price. High volume and downward price movement indicate a selling climax, while high volume and upward price movement indicate a buying climax. Either type of climax signals the end of a trend.”


Trade in Nifty futures as per these levels


Buy at / above: 5412   Targets: 5432 – 5451 – 5476 – 5497-5525
Stoploss : 5389
Sell at / below: 5389   Targets:  5366 – 5346 – 5331- 5311
Stoploss : 5412


shared  at 7.50 AM at chat room yesterday and nifty moved up like that only   stay logged in at chat room for learning and earning  http://dhanvarsha.in/chatroom/


22 Aug 13, 07:50 AM

Admin: expecting flat to slightly negative opening with possibility of extremely volatile session ahead may close above 5350 …market will be weak only if move below 5260 with volumes and that will be there only if more negativity will be spread .


we may assume last eod candle as bullish harami


NIFTY_Daily_22-08-2013


 




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selling climax & upswing of 175 Nifty points

Crude gained Rs 8000/- per lot

crude advised to sell at 6800  for the target of 6726    traded at target  within 4 hours of trade and gained more than Rs 8000/- per lot


call was


22 Aug 13, 03:10 PM

[×] [o] admin: SELL crude 6790 6800 sl 6820 target 6762 6726 SELL at cmp dont miss trade


shared at  dhanvarsha chatroom  http://dhanvarsha.in/chatroom/


22 Aug 13, 05:37 PM

[×] [o] admin: crude trading at 6751 target 1 done


crude22


22 Aug 13, 10:06 PM

[×] [o] kailash: crude traded at 6726 target 2 done enjoy


see crude   traded  at 6799 after sell call


crude data


 


 


22 Aug 13, 09:44 PM [×] [o] kailash: SELL nat gas at 228.60 sl 230.30 tgt 227.20 225.10 223.20


22 Aug 13, 09:50 PM   ×] [o] kailash: gas 227.40 now


22 Aug 13, 09:50 PM [×] [o] kailash: BOOK partial at 227.20


22 Aug 13, 09:51 PM [×] [o] kailash: 227.60 now


natgas


22 Aug 13, 11:30 PM

[×] [o] admin: gas bang at 227.20




// ]]>



Crude gained Rs 8000/- per lot

Thursday, August 22, 2013

Fresh short build up or selling climax in Nifty ?

Fresh short build up or selling climax in Nifty ?


Trade in Nifty futures as per these levels


Buy at / above: 5274   Targets: 5289 – 5308 – 5326 – 5344
Stoploss : 5256
Sell at / below: 5256   Targets: 5240 – 5222 – 5204 – 5186
Stoploss : 5274


Addition of 34 44  800 shares in open interest with fall of 100 points seems that fall is supported by fresh short positions ….if it is true nifty will see 5k soon ..but if it is deception or selling climax  then sharp reversal can not be ruled out ..see OI increase is highest in this series .even on expiry day oi increase was 32 95 900 .


climax


 


http://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/climax.asp






Definition of ‘Climax’


A market condition that is characterized by very high trading volume and a dramatic downward or upward movement in price. High volume and downward price movement indicate a selling climax, while high volume and upward price movement indicate a buying climax. Either type of climax signals the end of a trend.

Investopedia Says

Investopedia explains ‘Climax’


Selling into a climax run can be a good exit strategy, because by selling during a period of euphoria, investors can lock in dramatic gains. A buying climax can bid a stock’s price up to levels it will never reach again, or that it will not reach again for at least a decade. At the end of a buying climax, prices can fall sharply as investors realize the stock has been overbought.

Writing about “The Selling Climax” in Technical Analysis Of Stock Trends, authors Robert Edwards and John Magee observe that:


Most true Selling Climaxes, if not all, have been produced by distress selling … They have come at the end of rapid and comprehensive declines which exhausted the margin reserves of many speculators and necessitated the dumping of their shares at whatever the market would bring. This process is progressive — feeding upon itself, so to speak — with each wave of forced sales jeopardizing another lot of margined accounts, until at last millions of shares are tossed overboard, willy-nilly, in a final cleanup.


Bad? Good? Indifferent? For Edwards and Magee, it depends on where you stand as a trader.


Such is a Selling Climax in which the total turnover may exceed any single day’s volume during the previous upswing. It is a harvest time for traders who, having avoided the bullish infection at the top of the market, have funds in reserve to pick up stocks available at panic prices.


read more at http://www.traders.com/Documentation/FEEDbk_docs/2005/02/Charting/Charting.html




















22 Aug 13, 07:20 AM

[×] [o] Admin: Scores Killed in Syria, With Signs of Chemical War—Middle East –http://www.nytimes.com/2013/08/22/world/middleeast/syria.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0one more blow


22 Aug 13, 07:25 AM

[×] [o] Admin: Dow closed at 14897.55 below 105 .44 or 0.70 %


22 Aug 13, 07:31 AM

[×] [o] Admin: Asian markets are trading between 0.2 to 1.2%- possible intraday recovery can not be ruled out – negative news flow inducing fear and panic in marketshttp://www.calloptionputoption.com/marketwatch.html


22 Aug 13, 07:50 AM

[×] [o] Admin: expecting flat to slightly negative opening with possibility of extremely volatile session ahead may close above 5350 …market will be weak only if move below 5260 with volumes and that will be there only if more negativity will be spread .


22 Aug 13, 07:55 AM

[×] [o] Admin: positive newwwwwwwwwwws—–Asian shares pared earlier steep declines on Thursday after activity in China’s manufacturing sector hit a four-month high in August. Japan’s benchmark Nikkei index neared 13,400 points, Australia’s S&P ASX 200 moved off its two-week low, South Korea’s Kospi rose above its one-month low and the Shanghai Composite reversed losses.


22 Aug 13, 08:01 AM

[×] [o] Admin: Shanghai 0.2% higher China’s benchmark index reversed early losses to enter positive territory as investors cheered the latest PMI figure. Nikkei flat Japan’s benchmark index also erased losses to cross 13,400 points after losing as much as 1.4 percent earlier in the session thanks to a weaker currency.


22 Aug 13, 08:33 AM

[×] [o] KRISHNA: Good morningg :D


22 Aug 13, 08:34 AM

[×] [o] Admin: gm krishna


22 Aug 13, 08:43 AM

[×] [o] renu: gmmmmmmmmmmmm


22 Aug 13, 08:44 AM

[×] [o] Admin: gm renuji


22 Aug 13, 08:44 AM

[×] [o] Admin: ur view on market pls


22 Aug 13, 08:44 AM

[×] [o] KRISHNA: Good morning sis :)


22 Aug 13, 08:45 AM

[×] [o] renu: bank nifty comp bottomed out,,,,,,,,,,,, i odnt see more correction,,, for the last lows


22 Aug 13, 08:46 AM

[×] [o] Admin: u dont see correction


22 Aug 13, 08:48 AM

[×] [o] renu: noooo,,… but,, unless BUY signal genertaes due to pos vol,. nly invetsors shld enter


22 Aug 13, 08:51 AM

[×] [o] Admin: so you are seeing consolidation here at 5250 or reversal ?




// ]]>



Fresh short build up or selling climax in Nifty ?

Wednesday, August 21, 2013

expect 2 % up closing

1 % gap up and 1 % more so expect 2 % up closing …


trade in nifty futures as per these levels


Buy at / above: 5435   Targets: 5452 – 5472 – 5494 – 5510- 5535


Stoploss : 5414
Sell at / below: 5414   Targets: 5398 – 5382 – 5363 – 5346
Stoploss : 5436


eod nifty chart


NIFTY_Daily_20-08-2013


20 Aug 13, 03:16 PM  shared here    http://dhanvarsha.in/chatroom/

[×] [o] Admin: it was advised .>>>>20 Aug 13, 12:44 PM [×] [o] Admin: traders are advised to go LONG on dips as todays candle at eod will be hammer doji or spinning bottom just above 200 week moving average and extremely oversold zone ..possible expiry will be above 5550 or above as per fib retracement …plan ur trades with ur risk and own analysis …Dhanvarsha


9000/- gain in crude sell call within 2 hours




















20 Aug 13, 09:54 PM

[×] [o] Admin: SELL crude at cmp or below 6786 sl 6792 trading at 6778


20 Aug 13, 09:55 PM

[×] [o] Admin: 6777 now


20 Aug 13, 10:09 PM

[×] [o] Admin: crude 6766 now


20 Aug 13, 10:17 PM

[×] [o] Admin: 6762 :) crude


20 Aug 13, 10:23 PM

[×] [o] Admin: nat gas 219.10 now


20 Aug 13, 10:23 PM

[×] [o] Admin: again bang at tgt


20 Aug 13, 10:24 PM

[×] [o] Admin: again gain of 1250 per lot


20 Aug 13, 10:58 PM

[×] [o] Admin: crude 6742 keep sl at 6762


20 Aug 13, 11:01 PM

[×] [o] Admin: 6733 keep sl at 6752


20 Aug 13, 11:05 PM

[×] [o] Admin: 6728 from 6778 call u have with u :)


20 Aug 13, 11:06 PM

[×] [o] Admin: 6720 trail with sl at 6737


20 Aug 13, 11:06 PM

[×] [o] Admin: sold at 6778


20 Aug 13, 11:10 PM

[×] [o] Admin: 6713


20 Aug 13, 11:11 PM

[×] [o] Admin: 6708 trail with sl at 6722 sold at 6778


20 Aug 13, 11:16 PM

[×] [o] Admin: 6692 crude


20 Aug 13, 11:18 PM

[×] [o] Admin: 6686 low in crude alm0st 100 points on call


20 Aug 13, 11:20 PM

[×] [o] Admin: BOOK crude


expect 2 % up closing

Tuesday, August 20, 2013

nifty outlook & trading levels for 20 Aug 13

Gap down opening is expected with possibility of gap filling as maximum stocks are trading at 52 week lows and bottom fishing is going on if not positional you can buy stocks when you spot bullish wave as we have advised at chat room http://dhanvarsha.in/chatroom/ and results were encouraging .


19 Aug 13, 03:21 PM


[×] [o] Admin: 5370 se 5430 nifty dikha dia


19 Aug 13, 03:21 PM


[×] [o] Admin: with prediction and proof of technicals


19 Aug 13, 03:22 PM


[×] [o] Admin: see calls


19 Aug 13, 03:22 PM


[×] [o] Admin: rel infra 327 se 335.75 dhanvarsha ne di deepak gajra ke support se


19 Aug 13, 03:23 PM


[×] [o] Admin: axis 1008 to 1019 self


19 Aug 13, 03:23 PM


[×] [o] Admin: nifty 5430 to 5460 once


19 Aug 13, 03:23 PM


[×] [o] Admin: nifty 5370 to 5430 once


19 Aug 13, 03:24 PM


[×] [o] Admin: ce 45 to 50


19 Aug 13, 03:24 PM


[×] [o] Admin: 42 to 50


19 Aug 13, 03:25 PM


you can stay at room and enjoy such calls .


Trade in Nifty futures as per these levels


Buy at / above: 5361   Targets: 5380 – 5398 – 5417 – 5436


Stoploss : 5344
Sell at / below: 5344   Targets: 5330 – 5313 – 5295- 5277
Stoploss : 5361


when market moves up we search for resistance and when market start falling we search for supports human /traders nature thats why market runs..


6 % or more flat intraday gain on trade  http://dhanvarsha.in/6-or-more-flat-intraday-gain-on-jp-long-trade/


Axis bank buycall gained more than 3000 rs per lot http://dhanvarsha.in/axisbank-bang-on-target-one/


see daily nifty chart   only 2 red large candles created panic every where …


NIFTY_Daily_19-08-2013 (1)




// ]]>



nifty outlook & trading levels for 20 Aug 13

5350 is crucial for Nifty

possible crucial levels for  Nifty spot are  5350( very strong )5450 5600 5800 6050 if 5350 will be broken then 5300  5200  4760 4580 3670-each and every level may work as support /resistance level current support is 5350 and resistance is 5450 as per 5 years weekly chart of nifty .


as 5350 is 200 week  moving average .


do not take it lightly


NIFTY_Weekly_19-08-2013




// ]]>



5350 is crucial for Nifty

Monday, August 19, 2013

axisbank bang on target one

axis bank advised to buy at 1007  at chat room http://dhanvarsha.in/chatroom/ and bang on target one.


call was


19 Aug 13, 10:52 AM

Admin: BUY axis futures at 1007 10 sl 995 target  1017 27 47 intra


19 Aug 13, 11:11 AM

Admin: axis 1008 to 1013


19 Aug 13, 11:23 AM

Admin: axis 1008 to 1017


19 Aug 13, 11:35 AM

Admin: axis futures trading at 1018 bang at tgt1 call was 19 Aug 13, 10:52 AM [×] [o] Admin: BUY axis futures at 1007 10 sl 995 target 1017 27 47 intra


axis19




// ]]>



axisbank bang on target one

6 % or more flat intraday gain on JP long trade

6 % or more flat intraday gain on trade


chat room call http://dhanvarsha.in/chatroom/


19 Aug 13, 10:22 AM

Admin: BUY jpassociat at 29 29.35 sl 28.45 target 30 31 intra trade


traded at 31 ++


19 Aug 13, 10:47 AM

Admin: jp is on move 29.20 to 29.75 gain more than 1.5% flat


19 Aug 13, 11:26 AM

Admin: jp trading at 30 call was 19 Aug 13, 10:22 AM [×] [o] Admin: BUYjpassociat at 29 29.35 sl 28.45 target 30 31 intra trade…bang on target 1 enjoy dv


jpassociat




// ]]>



6 % or more flat intraday gain on JP long trade

market moves in positive and negative waves

market moves in positive and negative waves in each time frame ..waves may be in shape or not but they follow certain rules ..stay at dhanvarsha chat room to learn more in real time …and make money in markets..


19 Aug 13, 09:57 AM

[×] [o] renu: take a BUY ,,, only @ 5415 fut,,   here  http://dhanvarsha.in/chatroom/


19 Aug 13, 11:29 AM


[×] [o] Admin: nifty advised to BUY at 5415 by renuji and it traded low at 5414 and high at 5461 after her call will u not say thanks to her ???


19 Aug 13, 11:30 AM


[×] [o] Admin: her call was 19 Aug 13, 09:57 AM [×] [o] renu: take a BUY ,,, only @ 5415 fut,, whihc is weelkly support where some bears will take some halt


nifty intra 19



market moves in positive and negative waves

Nifty analysis as per eod and weekly chart 19 Aug 13

As per daily and weekly nifty chart analysis we are reaching at the view that Gap down opening is expected …5450 is strong support if broken with volumes next support is lying at 5340 50…if supported at 5450 and reversed its direction in that case market will move towards 5750  6100 …both possibilities are  there as on the basis of only 1 large candle we can not assume that trend is bearish . Though it is true that below 5500 nifty is weak but pull back in same manner can not be ruled out . So best way is spot the trend /wave and ride on it do not carry loosing position on expectations / emotions .Read more at  http://clientsviews.blogspot.in/2013/08/chat-history-upto-9-pm-13-aug-13.html


NIFTY_Daily_18-08-2013


Gap is there and pivot is also there so after gap down opening both gap filling is possible if this gap wont filled soon 5450 5500  level will start working as very strong resistance and market may trade even below 5350  5000  4700.


Trade in Nifty futures as per these levels


Buy at / above: 5476   Targets: 5491 – 5510 – 5528 – 5547
Stoploss : 5457
Sell at / below: 5457   Targets: 5441 – 5423 – 5404 – 5386
Stoploss : 5476


 


weekly chart is showing that  5350 is very gud support for nifty ..


weekly nifty




// ]]>



Nifty analysis as per eod and weekly chart 19 Aug 13

Saturday, August 17, 2013

EOD Nifty closed at pivot and fib level on 14 Aug 13

maximum indicators were supporting bulls on 14 August  but Nifty was closed at pivot level and 61.8% Fib retracement level and now we can say that both have proved their importance … and nifty forced to reverse its direction and closed at triple bottom level .


eod Nifty closed   at pivot and fib level on 14 Aug 13. falling of wall street added more fuel


U.S. stocks fell slightly on Friday, and the Dow industrials posted the biggest weekly loss this year as rising bond yields hurt shares paying richdividends and earnings from retailers disappointed investors.


NIFTY_Daily_16-08-2013


The Triple Bottom Reversal is a bullish reversal pattern typically found on bar charts, line charts and candlestick charts. There are three equal lows followed by a break above resistance. As major reversal patterns, these patterns usually form over a 3 to 6 month period.



  1. Prior Trend: With any reversal pattern, there should be an existing trend to reverse. In the case of the Triple Bottom Reversal, a clear downtrend should precede the formation.



  2. Three Lows: All three lows should be reasonable equal, well spaced and mark significant turning points. The lows do not have to be exactly equal, but should be reasonably equivalent.



  3. Volume: As the Triple Bottom Reversal develops, overall volume levels usually decline. Volume sometimes increases near the lows. After the third low, an expansion of volume on the advance and at the resistance breakout greatly reinforces the soundness of the pattern.



  4. Resistance Break: As with many other reversal patterns, the Triple Bottom Reversal is not complete until a resistance breakout. The highest point of the formation, which would be the highest of the intermittent highs, marks resistance.



  5. Resistance Turns Support: Broken resistance becomes potential support, and there is sometimes a test of this newfound support level with the first correction.



  6. Price Target: The distance from the resistance breakout to lows can be measured and added to the resistance break for a price target. The longer the pattern develops, the more significant is the ultimate breakout. Triple Bottom Reversals that are 6 or more months in duration represent major bottoms and a price target is less likely to be effective.




// ]]>



EOD Nifty closed at pivot and fib level on 14 Aug 13

Friday, August 16, 2013

gap down in nifty on 16 Aug 13

Gap down opening of approximately  1 % is expected in Nifty


US stocks had posted one of the biggest losses in the recent time owing to poor results and outlooks from Dow components Wal-Mart and Cisco yesterday and fear of 1 % gap down is there for Nifty ..sell on rise and book profits at swing low till trading below 5715 keep sl around 5733


Trade in Nifty Futures as per these levels for intra day trades


Buy at / above: 5716   Targets: 5733 – 5752 – 5773 – 5792
Stoploss : 5698
Sell at / below: 5698   Targets: 5682 – 5665 – 5646 – 5627
Stoploss : 5716


5715  and 5682 are levels very crucial if 5682 will be broken with volumes nifty will not easily recover and if moved up above 5715 with volumes no turning down so we can say that zone between 5682 -5715 is traders action zone and in this zone vary cautious view and trades to be executed with proper and strict stoploss.


: Foreign investors seem to be increasingly wary about investing in India as the Reserve Bank of India battles to stem the rupee’s plunge and stop capital outflows that are pushing India toward its biggest crisis in more than two decades.


On Wednesday, RBI Governor Duvvuri Subbarao tightened rules on overseas investments to prop up the rupee. He cut the amount Indian companies can invest overseas without seeking approval to 100 percent of their net worth, from 400 percent. The move is expected to scuttle plans the Aditya Birla Group, Apollo Tyres and Cipla had to invest abroad. Indians can only remit $75,000 a year versus the previous $200,000 limit.


“It’s fire-fighting to save the rupee, but where does it leave my investments if the Indian government suddenly introduces new controls in the future that restrict me from repatriating my profits,” said Boston-based medical equipment manufacturer Harvey Kirpatrick.


“It really gives me pause. It’s worrying because the move reverses the relatively long-term trend of easing capital controls.”


Crude advised to sell  below 6550 and traded below 6460 call was like this


kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (8/14/2013 11:56:13 AM): sell crude 6536  _6550  sl 6562    target 6512  6484 6454


crude at60




// ]]>



gap down in nifty on 16 Aug 13

Wednesday, August 14, 2013

axis sell call gained 17 points

axis sell call gained 17 points


call was


kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (8/14/2013 12:11:57 PM): sell axis Aug fut at 1145 46 sl 1163 target  1122

kailash123p@yahoo.co.in (8/14/2013 12:18:51 PM): axis futures 1136 advised to sell at 1145


17 x250  = 4000  or more per lot gain


 


axis




// ]]>



axis sell call gained 17 points

30 nifty points in 2 quick nifty short trades

30  nifty points in 2 quick nifty short trades        call was


14 Aug 13, 09:15 AM

[×] [o] Admin: SELL nifty at open sl 5733 tgt 5714 5696


call was at chat room  http://dhanvarsha.in/chatroom/


Nifty gained more than 15 points 2 times


chacha says


14 Aug 13, 11:05 AM


[×] [o] Admin: chacha pls sabko guru mantra de den aap kaise maximum trades profit men aate


14 Aug 13, 11:05 AM


[×] [o] deepakgajra: be proved vary chacha


14 Aug 13, 11:06 AM


[×] [o] Admin: losses na ke barabar


14 Aug 13, 11:08 AM


[×] [o] Admin: chacha kya koi trader aapse hyderabad men milna chahe to aap milenge ?


14 Aug 13, 11:08 AM


[×] [o] shahbuddin: me sir ji ke call pe chhote chhote tred kar leta hu jaha thoda profit mile le leta hu fir se share niche milne wale hai fir se by kar le sakte hai GUJRATI ME KAHAVAT HAI OCHHA NAFAMA VADHU VYAPAR MATLAB HTODE PROFIT ME GYADA TUROVER


14 Aug 13, 11:09 AM


[×] [o] deepakgajra: chacha gujrat se hai?


14 Aug 13, 11:10 AM


[×] [o] shahbuddin: YS


14 Aug 13, 11:10 AM


[×] [o] deepakgajra: ateyare ?


14 Aug 13, 11:11 AM


[×] [o] veera: July WPI inflation data due around 12 noon.


14 Aug 13, 11:11 AM


[×] [o] shahbuddin: HYDERABAD MA


14 Aug 13, 11:11 AM


[×] [o] KRISHNA: have to learn a lot from u chacha :)


14 Aug 13, 11:11 AM


[×] [o] deepakgajra: ok saras veche e vepari


14 Aug 13, 11:12 AM


[×] [o] shahbuddin: ha barabar


14 Aug 13, 11:16 AM


[×] [o] Admin: chacha aapka yahoo id aap share karoge trdaers se ?


nifty 14




// ]]>



30 nifty points in 2 quick nifty short trades

Nifty will trade above 5700

Nifty will trade above 5700  was shared at chatroom and yes it has been done . have a look  http://dhanvarsha.in/chatroom/










13 Aug 13, 08:38 AM

Admin: FIIs and DIIs both were net buyers yesterday ..why they were net buyers if India is not ok for investment as per media gossip …http://www.moneycontrol.com/stocks/marketstats/fii_dii_activity/index.php


13 Aug 13, 08:38 AM

Admin: don’t you feel some thing is cooking :)


13 Aug 13, 08:58 AM

Adminhttp://dhanvarsha.in/pull-back-or-reversal-at-nifty/ todays market out look …and nifty trading levels …read in full at above link …have a gr8 day


13 Aug 13, 09:11 AM

kk: gm admin sir


13 Aug 13, 09:17 AM

Admin: NF SELL at / below: 5584 Targets: 5567 – 5551 – 5532 – 5511 Stoploss : 5602


13 Aug 13, 09:18 AM

Admin: nf BUY at / above: 5601 Targets: 5622 – 5640 – 5659 – 5678 Stoploss : 5583


13 Aug 13, 09:22 AM

Admin: BUY 5700 call at 49 50 sl 43 tgt 56 59

Flat to slightly positive  opening is expected  with choppy session ahead and possibility of flat closing …market may consolidate and trade in 30 to 40 points  range  ahead of 15  Aug holiday .


NIFTY_Daily_13-08-2013


Read more what was at chatroom









13 Aug 13, 10:25 AM

deepakgajra: nifty ko kon khich raha hai?


13 Aug 13, 10:26 AM

Admin: dlf axis ntpc idfc


13 Aug 13, 10:26 AM

Admin: sbi


13 Aug 13, 10:26 AM

Admin: and finally Dhanvarsha


13 Aug 13, 10:27 AM

Adminhttp://dhanvarsha.in/pull-back-or-reversal-at-nifty/


13 Aug 13, 10:27 AM

Trade in Nifty Futures as per these levels 


Buy at / above: 5714   Targets: 5733 – 5752 – 5770- 5798
Stoploss : 5696
Sell at / below: 5696   Targets: 5681 – 5656 – 5641 – 5622
Stoploss : 5715


 




// ]]>



Nifty will trade above 5700